Over the past few decades, many species have moved into New England from the south, while others have moved within New England, or changed their population numbers. Earlier posts on this blog have reported some examples, and our species inventory includes some other stories. Birds are probably the most noticeable. Many people pay attention to them, and there's lots of ways to share news of species sightings, first appearance in the spring, and so forth. With increased awareness of climate change impacts, more people are on the watch for range-shifts, and we sometimes can get "early warning" of possible new visitors or residents to our area. One of these was reported in 2014: The Carolina chickadee is moving our way.
In New England, the black-capped chickadee is a familiar and beloved sight, almost a member of the family. It is the state bird of Maine and Massachusetts, and in the winter time it's a cheery and reliable visitor to back-yard bird feeders. There are several other chickadees in North America. To the west you'll see the chestnut-backed. To the south, there's the Carolina. This little bird looks very similar to the black-cap, but it's a little lighter in color, and it has a different song — not the 2-note, piping "fee-bee" of the black-caps, but a 4-note, descending "fee-bee-bay-bay". It is closely enough related to the black cap that the two can interbreed, and at the boundary between their ranges there is a region where hybrids are fairly common.
Researchers at Cornell and Villanova studied this zone, looking at changes between 2000 and 2012. Their data indicates that this zone has moved north at a rage of 0.7 miles a year, reaching nearly to Long Island by that time. A discussion of the paper notes: "As a final step, the researchers overlaid temperature records on a map of the overlap zone, drawn from eBird sightings of the two chickadee species. They found the zone of overlap occurred only in areas where the average winter low temperature was between 14 and 20 degrees Fahrenheit. They also used eBird records to estimate where the hybrid zone had been a decade earlier and found the same relationship with temperature existed then. The only difference was that those temperatures had shifted to the north by about seven miles since 2000."
Behind the hybrid zone, naturally, come the Carolina chickadees. In a few more years, if the trend continues, we might see some changes at New England feeders, and in the New England woods. Will the Carolinas push the black-caps north? Will they overlap and co-exist? Will there be a broader and broader hybrid band? One of many stories we will see unfold over the next few years.
To read reports on this research, see http://news.cornell.edu/stories/2014/03/warming-temperatures-push-chickadees-northward and
To read the original paper from Current Biology, see
On this website, we maintain a list of all New England species for which there is evidence of climate response, as reported in the scientific literature or in other sources (with links to the sources). (Help us keep up to date! Contact us if you see a gap!). We believe that in teaching about climate change in our region, the stories of individual species can be interesting and even compelling entry points.
To make this list even more useful, we have begun to create a series of "Species Briefs." These one-to-two page pieces present some basic information about the distribution and ecology of the species, and then about the reported climate response and its implications.
The first three briefs are about the high-bush blueberry, the dwarf elfin butterfly, and the moose. More will appear in the coming weeks.These briefs are suitable for classroom use, or for other distribution purposes. Please use them! Tell us what you use them for! Send us suggestions for improvement!
Christy McCain and Sarah King examined 1050 papers that took a look at the ways in which human-caused climate change is affecting mammals in North America. They took pains to include only works that could exclude other factors that might be causing changes, such as habitat destruction
The first thing to note about this study is that the authors sought, and found no publication bias. Science deniers often claim that there is a bias toward “popular” results, that is, studies that seem tilted to support mainstream opinion.. McCain and King found that out of all the studies they looked at, 52% - only slightly more than half - of mammalian populations responded to climate change as researchers expected. Of the remaining 48%, 7% had reacted opposite to expectations, and 41% had no detectable response at all.
Because this was such a broad study, covering species of all types with body sizes ranging from 2.5g (0.09oz) to 338kg (745lbs), its results have significance for species across the continent, and most likely across the world.
The researchers drew two main conclusions about likelihood of response to climate change.
The first is body size. The larger the animal, the more likely it is to change. Detectable changes started at around 100g (3.5oz), and went up from there to the point where the largest animals (polar bear and elk), were 27 times more likely to show responses to climate change.
The second major indicator is activity over the course of a 24 hour period. Species that are rigidly confined to activity at a certain time of day are far more likely to show significant changes due to the warming climate than species that can change their activity periods in response to changing conditions. Flexibility is key.
Eighty-two percent of the studies focused on changes to range, or to population size, leaving only 18% examining local extinction, seasonal behavior change, morphological change, or genetic change, so more research may be needed in the latter categories.
In the coming weeks, we’ll list the species covered in this review that live in New England, but the breadth of the study means that it forms a pretty reliable picture of what has been happening with mammals in general as the climate has changed.
The Biosphere and Climate project focuses on climate change in New England, and its effects on our organisms. However, a lot of research is being conducted elsewhere on species that make their home here, and we want to report on this research as well as other findings of interest.
This week, we report on a study of climate effects on several species of lungless salamanders. These small and inconspicuous creatures of the forest floor have been shown to play an important role in the energy and nutrient budgets of temperate forests such as those that cover much of eastern North America. The numbers are impressive: studies have found as many as 1,000 red-backed salamanders (Plethodon cinereus) per acre in northern hardwood forests.
There’s not much information on changes in their New England populations due to global climate change, but that’s largely due to the fact that not every species in every country has been studied. In the Smokey Mountains, historical data show that over a period of 55 years, the region has become warmer and drier. Researchers showed that these conditions lead to a faster metabolism, and for six species of the genus Plethodon, the researchers found a significant decrease in body size over the time period in question. Because the researchers focused only on members of the genus Plethodon, so they did not look into changes in other lungless salamanders, or into those with lungs.
Whether or not these changes are currently occurring in New England, they give us a pretty good idea what the response would be if similar changes in climate occur here. Other studies from other parts of the country can provide similar insight into what’s happening to species living in our region, and in the coming weeks, we’ll be providing updates on that research.
The New England Leaf Out Project (NELOP) needs your help observing leaf out this spring! Leaf out—when leaves first emerge and unfold in spring—is an important life stage that signals the beginning of the growing season in New England. NELOP is collecting leaf out observations from school groups, botanical gardens, and other volunteers across New England to study the effects of climate change on the timing of leaf out. We hope your classroom will help us gather observations of leaf out times in April and May of 2014 to add to the available database of current and historical observations. To participate, start by visiting our website: http://www.nelop.net/. Select one or more trees from the short species list, located on your school grounds. Next, starting in mid-April, check your tree(s) every couple of days and record the first signs of spring leaf out. Finally, take just a few minutes to enter your observations onto our straightforward NELOP website, along with a few notes about your tree’s surroundings. Your class’ observations will then be part of a growing scientific database of current and historic leaf out dates, and will be analyzed by researchers at Boston University. Monitoring spring leaf out is an engaging way for students to hone their naturalist and observational skills and to learn about trees, climate, and ecosystem interactions. We hope you’ll have a look at the NELOP website and consider joining us in observing leaf out this spring! Feel free to contact email@example.com with any questions